If you’re not a novice to baccarat, the chances are that you’ve heard you “should always wager at the Banker.” This isn’t just any of the frequently quoted gambling advice.
Betting with the Banker is not only the simplest but also the safest baccarat strategy. All it boils down to pure math.
The first thing to note is that the theoretical house edge when taking a bet on the banker as stated earlier is 1.06 percent. The same is true for the payout percentage. the return to the player (RTP) which is also known as the percentage of payout for Banker bets is a staggering 98.94 percent.
If we assume that you placed a hundred dollars bets with the Bank hand, then you’ll earn $98.94 back. It’s important to keep in mind that this calculation is only a theoretical one and it only tells you the odds that a particular bet is superior or inferior to another.
The RTP of a bet on the Bank hand of 98.94 percent means that it’s marginally better than a Player hand bet, which has an RTP of 98.76 percent. Also, betting on a tie will be less successful than either because of its small RTP, which is 85.64 percent.
The reason betting on the Banker is always a good idea goes beyond the house edge and RTP but. Let’s take a closer study of the mathematical basis behind the Banker betting baccarat strategy:
If the casino has eight decks of 52 cards that are standard; Tie bets pay 8:1; banker bets are paid evens less 5 percent commission, and there’s a 1:1 return for Player bets so the math will say:
* Hand of player losses 45.87 percent, gains 44.63 percent. It also tie 9.51 percent.
* Bank Hand, on the other, loses 44.65 percent, but wins 45.87 percent, and tie 9.51 percent.
If we eliminate all hands that tie from the equation, then the Bank game loses 49.32 percent of hands, while it wins 50.68 percent. On the other hand, 50.68 percent of players’ hands lose and 49.32 percent are winners.
Based on this mathematical background, it’s obvious there’s a clear pattern Bank Hand bets on the other hand are more likely win than lose, whereas Hands of players lose more frequently than they win. To correct for this you pay a 5.5% commission charged on all successful Banker bets.
Even when you include the charge of 5 percent and ignore hands that tie, the Banker hand’s house advantage remains advantageous 1.17 percent. That’s right, each $100 in Banker bets will result in a theoretical loss of $1.17 and similar bets on the hand of a player will result in an loss of $1.36.
The numbers aren’t lying: chances are higher of winning when you place your money with the Banker!
Don’t be fooled, though. Betting solely with the Player can have an equally low house edge of 1.36 percent, which means that it could also be an option to use the สมัครบาคาร่า strategy.
The Martingale System and Other Betting Strategies
Apart from removing the tie bet and always betting on the Banker, some sophisticated betting systems can fit perfectly into your Baccarat strategy.
Perhaps one of the most widely utilized betting techniques is called that of the Martingale System.
Made popular in the 18th century in France in the 18th century, the Martingale System is a common system of continually adjusting bets in games of chance that is especially suitable for Baccarat. It can also work like the charms of to other table games, such as roulette, blackjack, and even craps.
Beyond gambling The system has also been employed in trading FX or securities as well as other investment vehicles that have the long-term expectation of profit.
Martingale System Martingale System was devised by one French mathematician who was named Paul Pierre Levy, although many believe it was conceived by a casino owner who was not scrupulous called John Martingale.
How does it work? The Martingale System borrows from the theory of Mean Revision, which says that historical returns and asset prices (such as Gold, Oil and Stocks, FX, etc.) are likely to return to the longer-term normal or median.
In Baccarat, a casino game specifically the strategy assumes the payoff will be as close as possible to the bet’s RTP in the long-run. In simple terms, a particular bet is likely to be successful at some moment.
When you’re at brass tacks, the classic Martingale Method suggests that you should double down on the next wager if the last bet you placed was unsuccessful.
For instance, if you put a bet of $10 to the Bank hand and it is lost, you must place a bet of $20 to similar hands. It doesn’t end there.
This theory suggests that you should keep betting until you are successful. So, if the next bet of $20 is unsuccessful the bet, you must double it up to $40 on the subsequent bet. This is four times the initial wager.
When you make a win the next step is to take your winnings , and then go back to your original bet. From our example, if your bet of $40 on the Banker is successful, then you must return to the initial $10 bet.
The principle behind the Martingale strategy is that the bettors is the one who wins the most bet of the game. In our instance the winner was a total of $80 (inclusive of the stake) for a total bet at $70 ($10+$20+$40).
As you can see, the method has a nearly 100 percent rate of success over the long-term. While it may appear to be a guarantee However the Martingale System has several risks and weaknesses which include:
It’s not the best option for someone with a small account, because you might be short of cash quickly or even before you’ve hit that much-awaited winning streak.
* If you have multiple losses at a time the possibility of doubling your bet could exceed the limit of the table. It’s a big loss since you’ll never have the chance to double your wager again.
* You may need to bet many times in order to earn a decent sum of cash.
* Some casinos don’t allow the use of the Martingale System.
Lucky for you, there are a few other systems which have been proved to be just as effective, including Fibonacci, Paroli, Labouchere, and Doubles.
The Fibonacci Strategy
A Fibonacci baccarat approach is a type of betting strategy where the amount that you bet after a loss is determined by the Fibonacci sequence. It is a well-known natural number sequence that states that the next number in a series determines the number by the sum previous two numbers.
The sequence looks something like this: 1 3, 5, 8, 13 21 34, 55 etc.
Contrary to the Martingale system, there’s an abundance of maths that go into this method. But, you don’t have to be a math expert to put this method into practice.
Here’s the gist: for each bet fails, increase it on the next bet. The process continues until you have a winning streak. Similar to the previous system the Fibonacci system believes that the theory of mean revision is true.
Now, you may think, why would I keep expanding my bets on a certain hand when I have previously lost money? The idea is that if you make a subsequently bigger bet even though you’ve lost money it will result in winning back your previous two losing bets at some point.
A sample might suffice. Let’s suppose you start with 10 dollars bet on the Player hand.
If you lose your first two wagers, the third bet you place should be 3x your original wager, i.e. $30 (3x$10). If the third bet is successful, you’ll receive $30 in winnings so you’ll have earned back what you’ve lost on the previous two wagers.
If your losing streak extends to three consecutive times and you place a fourth bet, it will be 50 or 5x your original bet. If luck is in your favor and you are able to win the fourth round that means you’ll get the amount of $50, which equals the value of the last two losing hands, i.e. $20+$30
It’s as simple as that: place a bet of at least $10, then bet $20 until you lose. If you lose the bet, go ahead and raise it to $50, then $80, $130, $210 $340 … Just follow this Fibonacci sequence.
If you do win regardless of the level the stage, you must revert back to your initial bet of $10.